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Ladd McConkey questionable for LAC vs SEA: if he sits, Tre' Harris gains the most (7.5 to 9.2); play probability about 56%

By PropSims model, explained · Status change detected Oct 5, 2026, 12:58 PM CT · Published Oct 5, 2026, 12:58 PM CT

AI-assisted. Written automatically from our model's own numbers with fixed templates; nothing is invented, and no language model adds facts. How this works.

At Oct 5, 2026, 12:58 PM CT the injury feeds we track showed a change for the Los Angeles Chargers, so the model re-simulated their game against SEA:

• Ladd McConkey (WR) was listed as questionable (our model still has him playing); he now projects for 8.9 half-PPR points (median 7.5)

Fantasy outlook

• Ladd McConkey (WR, questionable): 8.9 → 8.9 half-PPR, WR26 → WR26. Verdict: flex only.

Half-PPR projection (mean of 10,000 sims) and weekly positional rank before and after this change. Verdicts use the same tiers as our start/sit page: top 12 QB/TE and top 24 RB/WR are starts, then flex range (QB 13-16, RB 25-32, WR 25-36, TE 13-16), otherwise bench. Rest-of-season impact not shown: our model projects one week at a time.

Who benefits

If he sits this week: (play probability about 56%) Half-PPR projection change vs the with-him baseline from our injury redistribution sims.

• Tre' Harris (WR): 7.5 → 9.2 half-PPR (+1.7). Usage: targets 5.2→6.5; catches 3.4→4.2; receiving yards 44.5→54.8; target share 17%→20%.
• Quentin Johnston (WR): 7.5 → 9.0 half-PPR (+1.5). Usage: targets 6.7→8.1; catches 3.4→4.1; receiving yards 45.1→54.2; target share 21%→26%.
• Oronde Gadsden II (TE): 5.4 → 6.3 half-PPR (+0.9). Usage: targets 3.5→4.3; catches 2.4→2.9; receiving yards 29.4→35.7; target share 11%→13%.
• Omarion Hampton (RB): 9.3 → 9.8 half-PPR (+0.5). Usage: targets 1.7→2.2; catches 1.4→1.8; target share 6%→7%.

Rest of season

This looks like a short-term / one-week designation, so the rest-of-season impact is minimal.

Source: with/without own-model sims (4,000 games each; vacated usage redistributed by build_inputs_own). Numbers are half-PPR means from our own-model sims with vacated usage redistributed by the same injury rules we use in production. Model opinion, not advice. 21+.

Projection moves (full table)

If he sits, the biggest beneficiary is Tre' Harris (WR), whose half-PPR projection would move from 7.5 to 9.2 (+1.7); median 5.9 to 7.8, 85th-percentile outcome 13.4 to 16.1. Volume: targets 5.2 to 6.5 (mean); catches 3.4 to 4.2 (mean); receiving yards 44.5 to 54.8 (mean).

Moves smaller than 0.3 points are within simulation noise for this refresh (largest move on an unaffected team: 0.0) and are not listed unless a volume stat moved.

See the full LAC at SEA game page and the Los Angeles Chargers page for every projection, or the props board for current lines.

All news · Los Angeles Chargers · LAC at SEA · Model opinion, not advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.