PropStart/Sit › Week 4 close calls › RB
Omarion Hampton or David Montgomery: who should I start in Week 4?
· Omarion Hampton: LAC vs SEA, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET · David Montgomery: HOU vs DAL, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET
Start Omarion Hampton over David Montgomery in Week 4 (half-PPR): he outscores him in 56% of 10,000 simulated games. Same pick in PPR (55%) and standard (56%). Need a safe floor? Omarion Hampton (p10 2.9). Need upside? Omarion Hampton (p85 15.7).
| Scoring | Player | Wins H2H | Rank | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | Omarion Hampton | 55% | RB27 | 8.7 | 3.2 | 16.7 |
| David Montgomery | 45% | RB29 | 7.7 | 1.8 | 16.5 | |
| Half-PPR | Omarion Hampton | 56% | RB26 | 7.9 | 2.9 | 15.7 |
| David Montgomery | 44% | RB29 | 6.9 | 1.5 | 15.6 | |
| Standard | Omarion Hampton | 56% | RB26 | 7.0 | 2.5 | 14.9 |
| David Montgomery | 44% | RB31 | 6.1 | 1.2 | 14.6 |
Both players are simulated together in the same 10,000 games, so shared-game correlation is included. Ties count half.
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PropSims own-model output; model opinion, not advice. Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+.