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Start/Sit › Week 4 close calls › RB

Omarion Hampton or Braelon Allen: who should I start in Week 4?

· Omarion Hampton: LAC vs SEA, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET · Braelon Allen: NYJ vs CHI, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET

START OMARION HAMPTONCOIN FLIP

Coin flip in Week 4: Omarion Hampton edges Braelon Allen, outscoring him in 54.4% of 10,000 simulated games (half-PPR), so let your floor/upside need decide. Same pick in PPR (54%) and standard (55%). Need a safe floor? Omarion Hampton (p10 2.9). Need upside? Omarion Hampton (p85 15.9).

ScoringPlayerWins H2HRankMedianFloor p10Ceiling p85
PPROmarion Hampton54%RB248.93.316.9
Braelon Allen46%RB278.32.416.2
Half-PPROmarion Hampton54%RB248.02.915.9
Braelon Allen46%RB277.42.015.1
StandardOmarion Hampton55%RB257.22.515.0
Braelon Allen45%RB276.51.614.1

Both players are simulated together in the same 10,000 games, so shared-game correlation is included. Ties count half.

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PropSims own-model output; model opinion, not advice. Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+.