PropStart/Sit › Week 4 close calls › WR
Michael Wilson or Jordan Addison: who should I start in Week 4?
· Michael Wilson: ARI vs NYG, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET · Jordan Addison: MIN vs MIA, Sun, Oct 4, 4:05 PM ET
Coin flip in Week 4: Michael Wilson edges Jordan Addison, outscoring him in 51.7% of 10,000 simulated games (half-PPR), so let your floor/upside need decide. PPR: Michael Wilson (53%). Standard: Jordan Addison (50%). Need a safe floor? Michael Wilson (p10 2.9). Need upside? Jordan Addison (p85 18.5).
| Scoring | Player | Wins H2H | Rank | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | Michael Wilson | 53% | WR16 | 11.5 | 4.1 | 21.0 |
| Jordan Addison | 47% | WR23 | 10.5 | 3.0 | 21.4 | |
| Half-PPR | Michael Wilson | 52% | WR19 | 9.0 | 2.9 | 17.4 |
| Jordan Addison | 48% | WR20 | 8.6 | 2.1 | 18.5 | |
| Standard | Michael Wilson | 50% | WR20 | 6.5 | 1.6 | 14.1 |
| Jordan Addison | 50% | WR18 | 6.6 | 1.3 | 15.7 |
Both players are simulated together in the same 10,000 games, so shared-game correlation is included. Ties count half.
Open in the Start/Sit assistant (add a 3rd or 4th player) →
Get PropSims free
PropSims own-model output; model opinion, not advice. Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+.