PropStart/Sit › Week 4 close calls › RB
Jeremiyah Love or Tony Pollard: who should I start in Week 4?
· Jeremiyah Love: ARI vs NYG, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET · Tony Pollard: TEN vs BAL, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET
Coin flip in Week 4: Jeremiyah Love edges Tony Pollard, outscoring him in 53.9% of 10,000 simulated games (half-PPR), so let your floor/upside need decide. PPR: Jeremiyah Love (57%). Standard: Tony Pollard (51%). Need a safe floor? Tony Pollard (p10 3.4). Need upside? Jeremiyah Love (p85 17.9).
| Scoring | Player | Wins H2H | Rank | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | Jeremiyah Love | 57% | RB18 | 10.8 | 4.0 | 19.7 |
| Tony Pollard | 43% | RB24 | 9.0 | 3.6 | 16.8 | |
| Half-PPR | Jeremiyah Love | 54% | RB20 | 9.3 | 3.3 | 17.9 |
| Tony Pollard | 46% | RB23 | 8.3 | 3.4 | 16.2 | |
| Standard | Jeremiyah Love | 49% | RB21 | 7.8 | 2.3 | 16.2 |
| Tony Pollard | 51% | RB23 | 7.7 | 3.1 | 15.6 |
Both players are simulated together in the same 10,000 games, so shared-game correlation is included. Ties count half.
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PropSims own-model output; model opinion, not advice. Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+.