PropStart/Sit › Week 4 close calls › WR
Garrett Wilson or Chris Olave: who should I start in Week 4?
· Garrett Wilson: NYJ vs CHI, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET · Chris Olave: NO vs ATL, Mon, Oct 5, 8:15 PM ET
Coin flip in Week 4: Garrett Wilson edges Chris Olave, outscoring him in 52.0% of 10,000 simulated games (half-PPR), so let your floor/upside need decide. Same pick in PPR (53%) and standard (50%). Need a safe floor? Garrett Wilson (p10 4.8). Need upside? Chris Olave (p85 22.5).
| Scoring | Player | Wins H2H | Rank | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | Garrett Wilson | 53% | WR6 | 15.4 | 6.6 | 26.5 |
| Chris Olave | 47% | WR10 | 14.2 | 5.4 | 26.4 | |
| Half-PPR | Garrett Wilson | 52% | WR8 | 12.0 | 4.8 | 21.8 |
| Chris Olave | 48% | WR10 | 11.4 | 3.9 | 22.5 | |
| Standard | Garrett Wilson | 50% | WR9 | 8.6 | 2.9 | 17.2 |
| Chris Olave | 50% | WR10 | 8.5 | 2.4 | 18.5 |
Both players are simulated together in the same 10,000 games, so shared-game correlation is included. Ties count half.
Open in the Start/Sit assistant (add a 3rd or 4th player) →
Get PropSims free
PropSims own-model output; model opinion, not advice. Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+.