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Start/Sit › Week 4 close calls › WR

Drake London or Stefon Diggs: who should I start in Week 4?

· Drake London: ATL vs NO, Mon, Oct 5, 8:15 PM ET · Stefon Diggs: WAS vs IND, Sun, Oct 4, 9:30 AM ET

START DRAKE LONDONCOIN FLIP

Coin flip in Week 4: Drake London edges Stefon Diggs, outscoring him in 53.9% of 10,000 simulated games (half-PPR), so let your floor/upside need decide. Same pick in PPR (53%) and standard (55%). Need a safe floor? Drake London (p10 2.8). Need upside? Drake London (p85 19.8).

ScoringPlayerWins H2HRankMedianFloor p10Ceiling p85
PPRDrake London53%WR1811.83.723.0
Stefon Diggs47%WR2011.03.820.9
Half-PPRDrake London54%WR189.62.819.8
Stefon Diggs46%WR218.62.717.4
StandardDrake London55%WR167.41.816.6
Stefon Diggs45%WR246.11.614.2

Both players are simulated together in the same 10,000 games, so shared-game correlation is included. Ties count half.

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PropSims own-model output; model opinion, not advice. Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+.