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Start/Sit › Week 4 close calls › WR

Dontayvion Wicks or Jordan Addison: who should I start in Week 4?

· Dontayvion Wicks: PHI vs LAR, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET · Jordan Addison: MIN vs MIA, Sun, Oct 4, 4:05 PM ET

START DONTAYVION WICKSCOIN FLIP

Coin flip in Week 4: Dontayvion Wicks edges Jordan Addison, outscoring him in 51.2% of 10,000 simulated games (half-PPR), so let your floor/upside need decide. Same pick in PPR (51%) and standard (51%). Need a safe floor? Dontayvion Wicks (p10 2.3). Need upside? Dontayvion Wicks (p85 18.9).

ScoringPlayerWins H2HRankMedianFloor p10Ceiling p85
PPRDontayvion Wicks51%WR2010.93.221.9
Jordan Addison49%WR2310.53.021.4
Half-PPRDontayvion Wicks51%WR179.02.318.9
Jordan Addison49%WR208.62.118.5
StandardDontayvion Wicks51%WR167.01.416.0
Jordan Addison49%WR186.61.315.7

Both players are simulated together in the same 10,000 games, so shared-game correlation is included. Ties count half.

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PropSims own-model output; model opinion, not advice. Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+.