PropStart/Sit › Week 4 close calls › WR
DJ Moore or Malik Washington: who should I start in Week 4?
· DJ Moore: BUF vs NE, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET · Malik Washington: MIA vs MIN, Sun, Oct 4, 4:05 PM ET
Coin flip in Week 4: DJ Moore edges Malik Washington, outscoring him in 50.5% of 10,000 simulated games (half-PPR), so let your floor/upside need decide. PPR: Malik Washington (51%). Standard: DJ Moore (52%). Need a safe floor? Malik Washington (p10 2.8). Need upside? DJ Moore (p85 17.5).
| Scoring | Player | Wins H2H | Rank | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | DJ Moore | 49% | WR26 | 10.0 | 2.8 | 20.2 |
| Malik Washington | 51% | WR25 | 10.4 | 3.9 | 18.8 | |
| Half-PPR | DJ Moore | 50% | WR25 | 8.2 | 2.0 | 17.5 |
| Malik Washington | 50% | WR26 | 8.0 | 2.8 | 15.4 | |
| Standard | DJ Moore | 52% | WR24 | 6.2 | 1.2 | 14.8 |
| Malik Washington | 48% | WR30 | 5.4 | 1.6 | 12.2 |
Both players are simulated together in the same 10,000 games, so shared-game correlation is included. Ties count half.
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PropSims own-model output; model opinion, not advice. Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+.