PropStart/Sit › Week 4 close calls › TE
Dalton Schultz or Tucker Kraft: who should I start in Week 4?
· Dalton Schultz: HOU vs DAL, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET · Tucker Kraft: GB vs TB, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET
Coin flip in Week 4: Dalton Schultz edges Tucker Kraft, outscoring him in 54.2% of 10,000 simulated games (half-PPR), so let your floor/upside need decide. Same pick in PPR (56%) and standard (52%). Need a safe floor? Dalton Schultz (p10 1.7). Need upside? Dalton Schultz (p85 13.8).
| Scoring | Player | Wins H2H | Rank | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | Dalton Schultz | 56% | TE9 | 8.3 | 2.4 | 17.0 |
| Tucker Kraft | 44% | TE13 | 7.2 | 1.7 | 15.4 | |
| Half-PPR | Dalton Schultz | 54% | TE9 | 6.2 | 1.7 | 13.8 |
| Tucker Kraft | 46% | TE12 | 5.5 | 1.2 | 12.9 | |
| Standard | Dalton Schultz | 52% | TE10 | 4.0 | 0.9 | 10.8 |
| Tucker Kraft | 48% | TE12 | 3.8 | 0.6 | 10.4 |
Both players are simulated together in the same 10,000 games, so shared-game correlation is included. Ties count half.
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PropSims own-model output; model opinion, not advice. Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+.