PropStart/Sit › Week 4 close calls › TE
Dalton Schultz or Harold Fannin Jr.: who should I start in Week 4?
· Dalton Schultz: HOU vs DAL, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET · Harold Fannin Jr.: CLE vs PIT, Thu, Oct 1, 8:15 PM ET
Start Dalton Schultz over Harold Fannin Jr. in Week 4 (half-PPR): he outscores him in 55% of 10,000 simulated games. Same pick in PPR (55%) and standard (55%). Need a safe floor? Dalton Schultz (p10 1.7). Need upside? Dalton Schultz (p85 14.2).
| Scoring | Player | Wins H2H | Rank | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | Dalton Schultz | 55% | TE10 | 8.6 | 2.4 | 17.3 |
| Harold Fannin Jr. | 45% | TE12 | 7.4 | 2.0 | 15.2 | |
| Half-PPR | Dalton Schultz | 55% | TE10 | 6.4 | 1.7 | 14.2 |
| Harold Fannin Jr. | 45% | TE12 | 5.4 | 1.5 | 12.3 | |
| Standard | Dalton Schultz | 55% | TE10 | 4.2 | 0.9 | 11.1 |
| Harold Fannin Jr. | 45% | TE15 | 3.4 | 0.8 | 9.5 |
Both players are simulated together in the same 10,000 games, so shared-game correlation is included. Ties count half.
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PropSims own-model output; model opinion, not advice. Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+.