PropPlayers › RB › BUF
Should I start Ty Johnson in Week 4?
Week 4, 2026 · BUF vs NE · kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET ·
PropSims ranks Ty Johnson RB54 in half-PPR for Week 4 (BUF vs NE): sit in a 12-team league. Median 3.3 points, floor 0.2 (p10), ceiling 9.0 (p85), from 10,000 simulations of the game. PPR: RB48 (median 4.4). Standard: RB57 (median 2.2).
| Scoring | Rank | Call | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | RB48 | Sit | 4.4 | 0.3 | 10.5 |
| Half-PPR | RB54 | Sit | 3.3 | 0.2 | 9.0 |
| Standard | RB57 | Sit | 2.2 | 0.0 | 7.7 |
Game environment: BUF market-implied team total 28.5 vs 21.5 for NE (median of 11 books via The Odds API). Usage this season (1 games): 15% target share, 0% carry share, 23% snap rate (nflverse).
Ranked nearby (RB, half-PPR): Raheim Sanders (RB52), Kaelon Black (RB53), Tyjae Spears (RB55), Kaleb Johnson (RB56).
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Numbers are PropSims own-model output from 10,000 simulations of every Week 4 game; ranks assume a 12-team league (1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 FLEX). Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Methodology · All Week 4 rankings