PropPlayers › TE › NYG
Should I start Theo Johnson in Week 4?
Week 4, 2026 · NYG vs ARI · kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET ·
PropSims says sit Theo Johnson in Week 4 unless Isaiah Likely is out: as a limited-role TE his median is 1.8 half-PPR points, with a significant role in 6% of our 10,000 simulations.
| Scoring | Rank | Call | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | TE51 | Sit | 2.3 | 0.0 | 4.5 |
| Half-PPR | TE50 | Sit | 1.8 | 0.0 | 3.7 |
| Standard | TE49 | Sit | 1.2 | 0.0 | 2.8 |
Game environment: NYG market-implied team total 21.0 vs 23.5 for ARI (median of 11 books via The Odds API). Usage this season (3 games): 5% target share, 0% carry share, 30% snap rate (nflverse).
Ranked nearby (TE, half-PPR): Noah Gray (TE48), Cole Kmet (TE49), Davis Allen (TE51), Tanner Conner (TE52).
Compare Theo Johnson with anyone in the Start/Sit assistant →
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Numbers are PropSims own-model output from 10,000 simulations of every Week 4 game; ranks assume a 12-team league (1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 FLEX). Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Methodology · All Week 4 rankings