What is Tanner Conner's floor and ceiling in Week 4?

Half-PPR: floor 0.0, median 1.7, ceiling 3.4. PPR: 0.0 / 2.2 / 4.3. Standard: 0.0 / 1.1 / 2.5. Floor = 10th percentile, ceiling = 85th percentile of 10,000 simulations.

Players › TE › NE

Should I start Tanner Conner in Week 4?

Week 4, 2026 · NE vs BUF · kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET · Updated Oct 4, 2026, 1:30 AM ET

SIT Limited role

PropSims says sit Tanner Conner in Week 4 unless Hunter Henry is out: as a limited-role TE his median is 1.7 half-PPR points, with a significant role in 4% of our 10,000 simulations.

Scoring	Rank	Call	Median	Ceiling p85
PPR	TE52	Sit	2.2	4.3
Half-PPR	TE52	Sit	1.7	3.4
Standard	TE52	Sit	1.1	2.5

Game environment: NE market-implied team total 21.5 vs 28.5 for BUF (median of 11 books via The Odds API).

Ranked nearby (TE, half-PPR): Theo Johnson (TE50), Davis Allen (TE51), Nate Adkins (TE53), Drew Sample (TE54).

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Numbers are PropSims own-model output from 10,000 simulations of every Week 4 game; ranks assume a 12-team league (1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 FLEX). Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Methodology · All Week 4 rankings