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Should I start Michael Carter in Week 4?
Week 4, 2026 · TEN vs BAL · kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET ·
PropSims ranks Michael Carter RB51 in half-PPR for Week 4 (TEN vs BAL): sit in a 12-team league. Median 3.5 points, floor 0.4 (p10), ceiling 8.7 (p85), from 10,000 simulations of the game. PPR: RB50 (median 4.3). Standard: RB52 (median 2.7).
| Scoring | Rank | Call | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | RB50 | Sit | 4.3 | 0.6 | 9.9 |
| Half-PPR | RB51 | Sit | 3.5 | 0.4 | 8.7 |
| Standard | RB52 | Sit | 2.7 | 0.2 | 7.6 |
Game environment: TEN market-implied team total 15.5 vs 27.0 for BAL (median of 11 books via The Odds API).
Ranked nearby (RB, half-PPR): Kene Nwangwu (RB49), Samaje Perine (RB50), Raheim Sanders (RB52), Kaelon Black (RB53).
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Numbers are PropSims own-model output from 10,000 simulations of every Week 4 game; ranks assume a 12-team league (1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 FLEX). Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Methodology · All Week 4 rankings