Players › RB › MIN
Should I start Max Bredeson in Week 4?
Week 4, 2026 · MIN vs MIA · kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 4:05 PM ET ·
PropSims says sit Max Bredeson in Week 4 unless Aaron Jones Sr. is out: as a limited-role RB his median is 0.0 half-PPR points, with a significant role in under 1% of our 10,000 simulations.
| Scoring | Rank | Call | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | RB106 | Sit | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4 |
| Half-PPR | RB113 | Sit | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7 |
| Standard | RB120 | Sit | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 |
Game environment: MIN market-implied team total 24.2 vs 14.2 for MIA (median of 11 books via The Odds API). Usage this season (3 games): 0% target share, 0% carry share, 29% snap rate (nflverse).
Ranked nearby (RB, half-PPR): Grant Finley (RB111), Roman Hemby (RB112), Carson Steele (RB114), Ray Davis (RB115).
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Numbers are PropSims own-model output from 10,000 simulations of every Week 4 game; ranks assume a 12-team league (1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 FLEX). Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Methodology · All Week 4 rankings