PropPlayers › RB › BUF
Should I start Ray Davis in Week 4?
Week 4, 2026 · BUF vs NE · kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET ·
PropSims says sit Ray Davis in Week 4 unless James Cook III is out: as a limited-role RB his median is 0.3 half-PPR points, with a significant role in 3% of our 10,000 simulations.
Q Injury status at export time.
| Scoring | Rank | Call | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | RB98 | Sit | 0.3 | 0.0 | 2.6 |
| Half-PPR | RB98 | Sit | 0.3 | 0.0 | 2.3 |
| Standard | RB96 | Sit | 0.2 | 0.0 | 2.1 |
Game environment: BUF market-implied team total 28.5 vs 21.5 for NE (median of 11 books via The Odds API). Usage this season (3 games): 0% target share, 2% carry share, 10% snap rate (nflverse).
Ranked nearby (RB, half-PPR): Alec Ingold (RB96), Dare Ogunbowale (RB97), Nick Singleton (RB99), Kendall Milton (RB100).
Compare Ray Davis with anyone in the Start/Sit assistant →
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Numbers are PropSims own-model output from 10,000 simulations of every Week 4 game; ranks assume a 12-team league (1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 FLEX). Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Methodology · All Week 4 rankings