What is John Metchie III's floor and ceiling in Week 4?

Half-PPR: floor 0.0, median 2.4, ceiling 9.2. PPR: 0.0 / 3.2 / 10.4. Standard: 0.0 / 1.7 / 8.0. Floor = 10th percentile, ceiling = 85th percentile of 10,000 simulations.

Players › WR › CAR

Should I start John Metchie III in Week 4?

Week 4, 2026 · CAR vs DET · kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 8:20 PM ET · Updated Oct 4, 2026, 4:48 AM ET

SIT Limited role

PropSims says sit John Metchie III in Week 4 unless Tetairoa McMillan is out: as a limited-role WR his median is 2.4 half-PPR points, with a significant role in 8% of our 10,000 simulations.

Scoring	Rank	Call	Median	Ceiling p85
PPR	WR85	Sit	3.2	10.4
Half-PPR	WR86	Sit	2.4	9.2
Standard	WR84	Sit	1.7	8.0

Game environment: CAR market-implied team total 23.8 vs 27.2 for DET (median of 11 books via The Odds API). Usage this season (2 games): 6% target share, 0% carry share, 34% snap rate (nflverse).

Ranked nearby (WR, half-PPR): Tyquan Thornton (WR84), Jahan Dotson (WR85), Skyy Moore (WR87), Jaylin Noel (WR88).

Compare John Metchie III with anyone in the Start/Sit assistant →

Get PropSims free

The beta is free, no card required. Weekly projections, start/sit, DFS value and a public, pre-kickoff props log.

Numbers are PropSims own-model output from 10,000 simulations of every Week 4 game; ranks assume a 12-team league (1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 FLEX). Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Methodology · All Week 4 rankings