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Green Bay Packers Week 4 projections and player props
GB at TB · Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET · game page · opponent: Tampa Bay Buccaneers ·
The market implies 21.0 points for the Green Bay Packers and 18.0 for Tampa Bay Buccaneers (median of 11 books). Our model projects Jordan Love (GB vs TB) for a median 236 passing yards (FanDuel line 238.5; 10th-90th percentile 153-321) and 7 rushing yards (FanDuel line 4.5; 10th-90th percentile 0-27) in Week 4. Our model projects Christian Watson (GB vs TB) for a median 63 receiving yards (FanDuel line 67.5; 10th-90th percentile 19-149) and 4 receptions (FanDuel line 4.5; 10th-90th percentile 2-8) in Week 4.
| Rank | Player | Opp | Half-PPR median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 | PPR median | Std median | Key stats (median) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB19 | Jordan Love | TB | 14.8 | 7.6 | 23.8 | 14.8 | 14.8 | 236 passing yards, 7 rushing yards |
| WR13 | Christian Watson | TB | 10.4 | 3.1 | 20.4 | 12.6 | 8.0 | 63 receiving yards, 4 receptions |
| WR29 | Matthew Golden | TB | 7.2 | 1.8 | 15.3 | 9.0 | 5.3 | 44 receiving yards, 3 receptions |
| TE13 | Tucker Kraft | TB | 5.4 | 1.1 | 12.6 | 7.1 | 3.8 | 31 receiving yards, 3 receptions |
| RB35 | MarShawn Lloyd | TB | 5.2 | 0.8 | 14.0 | 5.9 | 4.6 | 25 rushing yards, 1 receiving yards |
| RB44 | Kaleb Johnson | TB | 3.3 | 0.4 | 8.9 | 3.5 | 3.1 | 24 rushing yards, 0 receiving yards |
| TE37 | Drake Dabney | TB | 2.8 | 0.0 | 9.5 | 3.9 | 1.7 | |
| RB61 | Chris Brooks | TB | 1.5 | 0.0 | 5.6 | 2.0 | 1.0 | |
| TE51 | Jonnu Smith (limited) | TB | 1.1 | 0.0 | 2.3 | 1.5 | 0.6 | |
| WR105 | Skyy Moore (limited) | TB | 0.8 | 0.0 | 3.5 | 1.3 | 0.4 | |
| RB96 | Pierre Strong Jr.Q (limited) | TB | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 | |
| WR120 | J. Michael Sturdivant (limited) | TB | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| WR121 | Bo Melton (limited) | TB | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Players sorted by half-PPR median. Floor = 10th percentile, ceiling = 85th percentile of 10,000 simulations of the game. Click a player for stat projections and every prop line we price.
Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. All teams · Week 4 rankings · Props board