PropStart/Sit › Week 4 close calls › TE
Trey McBride or Travis Kelce: who should I start in Week 4?
· Trey McBride: ARI vs NYG, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET · Travis Kelce: KC vs LV, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET
Start Trey McBride over Travis Kelce in Week 4 (half-PPR): he outscores him in 57% of 10,000 simulated games. Same pick in PPR (59%) and standard (54%). Need a safe floor? Trey McBride (p10 3.4). Need upside? Trey McBride (p85 19.5).
| Scoring | Player | Wins H2H | Rank | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | Trey McBride | 59% | TE1 | 12.9 | 4.9 | 23.9 |
| Travis Kelce | 41% | TE5 | 10.7 | 3.2 | 21.2 | |
| Half-PPR | Trey McBride | 57% | TE1 | 9.9 | 3.4 | 19.5 |
| Travis Kelce | 43% | TE4 | 8.5 | 2.4 | 17.8 | |
| Standard | Trey McBride | 54% | TE1 | 6.8 | 1.9 | 15.3 |
| Travis Kelce | 46% | TE3 | 6.2 | 1.5 | 14.5 |
Both players are simulated together in the same 10,000 games, so shared-game correlation is included. Ties count half.
Open in the Start/Sit assistant (add a 3rd or 4th player) →
Get PropSims free
PropSims own-model output; model opinion, not advice. Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+.