PropStart/Sit › Week 4 close calls › WR
Tre Tucker or Malik Nabers: who should I start in Week 4?
· Tre Tucker: LV vs KC, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET · Malik Nabers: NYG vs ARI, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET
Coin flip in Week 4: Tre Tucker edges Malik Nabers, outscoring him in 52.0% of 10,000 simulated games (half-PPR), so let your floor/upside need decide. Same pick in PPR (52%) and standard (52%). Need a safe floor? Tre Tucker (p10 1.6). Need upside? Malik Nabers (p85 14.8).
| Scoring | Player | Wins H2H | Rank | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | Tre Tucker | 52% | WR31 | 8.5 | 2.2 | 17.1 |
| Malik Nabers | 48% | WR33 | 7.9 | 1.8 | 17.1 | |
| Half-PPR | Tre Tucker | 52% | WR31 | 6.7 | 1.6 | 14.3 |
| Malik Nabers | 48% | WR32 | 6.1 | 1.2 | 14.8 | |
| Standard | Tre Tucker | 52% | WR31 | 4.8 | 0.9 | 11.7 |
| Malik Nabers | 48% | WR34 | 4.2 | 0.6 | 12.4 |
Both players are simulated together in the same 10,000 games, so shared-game correlation is included. Ties count half.
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PropSims own-model output; model opinion, not advice. Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+.