PropStart/Sit › Week 4 close calls › TE
T.J. Hockenson or Kenyon Sadiq: who should I start in Week 4?
· T.J. Hockenson: MIN vs MIA, Sun, Oct 4, 4:05 PM ET · Kenyon Sadiq: NYJ vs CHI, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET
Coin flip in Week 4: T.J. Hockenson edges Kenyon Sadiq, outscoring him in 52.0% of 10,000 simulated games (half-PPR), so let your floor/upside need decide. Same pick in PPR (53%) and standard (50%). Need a safe floor? T.J. Hockenson (p10 1.8). Need upside? T.J. Hockenson (p85 14.4).
| Scoring | Player | Wins H2H | Rank | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | T.J. Hockenson | 53% | TE8 | 8.7 | 2.6 | 17.5 |
| Kenyon Sadiq | 47% | TE10 | 8.0 | 2.2 | 16.4 | |
| Half-PPR | T.J. Hockenson | 52% | TE8 | 6.4 | 1.8 | 14.4 |
| Kenyon Sadiq | 48% | TE10 | 6.1 | 1.6 | 13.3 | |
| Standard | T.J. Hockenson | 50% | TE9 | 4.0 | 0.9 | 11.3 |
| Kenyon Sadiq | 50% | TE8 | 4.1 | 0.9 | 10.4 |
Both players are simulated together in the same 10,000 games, so shared-game correlation is included. Ties count half.
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PropSims own-model output; model opinion, not advice. Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+.