PropStart/Sit › Week 4 close calls › RB
Saquon Barkley or Jeremiyah Love: who should I start in Week 4?
· Saquon Barkley: PHI vs LAR, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET · Jeremiyah Love: ARI vs NYG, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET
Coin flip in Week 4: Saquon Barkley edges Jeremiyah Love, outscoring him in 52.5% of 10,000 simulated games (half-PPR), so let your floor/upside need decide. Same pick in PPR (51%) and standard (54%). Need a safe floor? Saquon Barkley (p10 3.9). Need upside? Jeremiyah Love (p85 17.9).
| Scoring | Player | Wins H2H | Rank | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | Saquon Barkley | 51% | RB19 | 10.7 | 4.4 | 19.2 |
| Jeremiyah Love | 49% | RB18 | 10.8 | 4.0 | 19.7 | |
| Half-PPR | Saquon Barkley | 52% | RB18 | 9.6 | 3.9 | 17.8 |
| Jeremiyah Love | 48% | RB20 | 9.3 | 3.3 | 17.9 | |
| Standard | Saquon Barkley | 54% | RB19 | 8.5 | 3.3 | 16.6 |
| Jeremiyah Love | 46% | RB21 | 7.8 | 2.3 | 16.2 |
Both players are simulated together in the same 10,000 games, so shared-game correlation is included. Ties count half.
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PropSims own-model output; model opinion, not advice. Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+.