PropStart/Sit › Week 4 close calls › RB
Saquon Barkley or Cam Skattebo: who should I start in Week 4?
· Saquon Barkley: PHI vs LAR, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET · Cam Skattebo: NYG vs ARI, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET
Coin flip in Week 4: Saquon Barkley edges Cam Skattebo, outscoring him in 52.5% of 10,000 simulated games (half-PPR), so let your floor/upside need decide. Same pick in PPR (53%) and standard (52%). Need a safe floor? Saquon Barkley (p10 3.8). Need upside? Cam Skattebo (p85 17.7).
| Scoring | Player | Wins H2H | Rank | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | Saquon Barkley | 53% | RB17 | 10.6 | 4.3 | 19.0 |
| Cam Skattebo | 47% | RB19 | 9.8 | 3.3 | 18.7 | |
| Half-PPR | Saquon Barkley | 52% | RB17 | 9.4 | 3.8 | 17.5 |
| Cam Skattebo | 48% | RB19 | 9.0 | 2.9 | 17.7 | |
| Standard | Saquon Barkley | 52% | RB18 | 8.4 | 3.2 | 16.3 |
| Cam Skattebo | 48% | RB20 | 8.2 | 2.5 | 16.7 |
Both players are simulated together in the same 10,000 games, so shared-game correlation is included. Ties count half.
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PropSims own-model output; model opinion, not advice. Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+.