PropStart/Sit › Week 4 close calls › WR
Malik Nabers or Tre Tucker: who should I start in Week 4?
· Malik Nabers: NYG vs ARI, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET · Tre Tucker: LV vs KC, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET
Coin flip in Week 4: Malik Nabers edges Tre Tucker, outscoring him in 51.0% of 10,000 simulated games (half-PPR), so let your floor/upside need decide. Same pick in PPR (51%) and standard (51%). Need a safe floor? Tre Tucker (p10 1.6). Need upside? Malik Nabers (p85 15.2).
| Scoring | Player | Wins H2H | Rank | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | Malik Nabers | 51% | WR33 | 8.5 | 2.0 | 17.7 |
| Tre Tucker | 49% | WR35 | 8.2 | 2.1 | 16.6 | |
| Half-PPR | Malik Nabers | 51% | WR32 | 6.7 | 1.4 | 15.2 |
| Tre Tucker | 49% | WR33 | 6.5 | 1.6 | 13.9 | |
| Standard | Malik Nabers | 51% | WR32 | 4.6 | 0.7 | 12.9 |
| Tre Tucker | 49% | WR33 | 4.6 | 0.9 | 11.3 |
Both players are simulated together in the same 10,000 games, so shared-game correlation is included. Ties count half.
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PropSims own-model output; model opinion, not advice. Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+.