PropStart/Sit › Week 4 close calls › TE
Kenyon Sadiq or Cade Otton: who should I start in Week 4?
· Kenyon Sadiq: NYJ vs CHI, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET · Cade Otton: TB vs GB, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET
Coin flip in Week 4: Kenyon Sadiq edges Cade Otton, outscoring him in 51.6% of 10,000 simulated games (half-PPR), so let your floor/upside need decide. Same pick in PPR (51%) and standard (52%). Need a safe floor? Kenyon Sadiq (p10 1.6). Need upside? Kenyon Sadiq (p85 13.2).
| Scoring | Player | Wins H2H | Rank | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | Kenyon Sadiq | 51% | TE12 | 8.0 | 2.2 | 16.2 |
| Cade Otton | 49% | TE14 | 7.8 | 2.3 | 16.0 | |
| Half-PPR | Kenyon Sadiq | 52% | TE12 | 6.2 | 1.6 | 13.2 |
| Cade Otton | 48% | TE14 | 5.8 | 1.6 | 13.0 | |
| Standard | Kenyon Sadiq | 52% | TE10 | 4.2 | 0.9 | 10.3 |
| Cade Otton | 48% | TE15 | 3.8 | 0.9 | 10.0 |
Both players are simulated together in the same 10,000 games, so shared-game correlation is included. Ties count half.
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PropSims own-model output; model opinion, not advice. Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+.