PropStart/Sit › Week 4 close calls › RB
Kenneth Walker III or James Cook III: who should I start in Week 4?
· Kenneth Walker III: KC vs LV, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET · James Cook III: BUF vs NE, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET
Coin flip in Week 4: Kenneth Walker III edges James Cook III, outscoring him in 54.8% of 10,000 simulated games (half-PPR), so let your floor/upside need decide. Same pick in PPR (58%) and standard (51%). Need a safe floor? Kenneth Walker III (p10 7.2). Need upside? Kenneth Walker III (p85 29.7).
| Scoring | Player | Wins H2H | Rank | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | Kenneth Walker III | 58% | RB4 | 19.4 | 8.5 | 32.0 |
| James Cook III | 42% | RB6 | 16.4 | 7.6 | 28.1 | |
| Half-PPR | Kenneth Walker III | 55% | RB4 | 17.4 | 7.2 | 29.7 |
| James Cook III | 45% | RB5 | 15.6 | 7.1 | 27.2 | |
| Standard | Kenneth Walker III | 51% | RB4 | 15.4 | 5.8 | 27.4 |
| James Cook III | 49% | RB6 | 14.7 | 6.6 | 26.3 |
Both players are simulated together in the same 10,000 games, so shared-game correlation is included. Ties count half.
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PropSims own-model output; model opinion, not advice. Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+.