PropStart/Sit › Week 4 close calls › RB
James Cook III or Chuba Hubbard: who should I start in Week 4?
· James Cook III: BUF vs NE, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET · Chuba Hubbard: CAR vs DET, Sun, Oct 4, 8:20 PM ET
Start James Cook III over Chuba Hubbard in Week 4 (half-PPR): he outscores him in 56% of 10,000 simulated games. Same pick in PPR (53%) and standard (58%). Need a safe floor? James Cook III (p10 6.9). Need upside? James Cook III (p85 26.0).
| Scoring | Player | Wins H2H | Rank | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | James Cook III | 53% | RB10 | 15.7 | 7.3 | 26.9 |
| Chuba Hubbard | 47% | RB11 | 15.0 | 6.5 | 26.1 | |
| Half-PPR | James Cook III | 56% | RB9 | 14.9 | 6.9 | 26.0 |
| Chuba Hubbard | 44% | RB11 | 13.5 | 5.6 | 24.2 | |
| Standard | James Cook III | 58% | RB7 | 14.1 | 6.4 | 25.1 |
| Chuba Hubbard | 42% | RB11 | 12.0 | 4.6 | 22.6 |
Both players are simulated together in the same 10,000 games, so shared-game correlation is included. Ties count half.
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PropSims own-model output; model opinion, not advice. Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+.