PropStart/Sit › Week 4 close calls › TE
Hunter Henry or AJ Barner: who should I start in Week 4?
· Hunter Henry: NE vs BUF, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET · AJ Barner: SEA vs LAC, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET
Coin flip in Week 4: Hunter Henry edges AJ Barner, outscoring him in 53.5% of 10,000 simulated games (half-PPR), so let your floor/upside need decide. Same pick in PPR (54%) and standard (54%). Need a safe floor? Hunter Henry (p10 1.3). Need upside? Hunter Henry (p85 13.5).
| Scoring | Player | Wins H2H | Rank | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | Hunter Henry | 54% | TE11 | 7.9 | 1.8 | 16.3 |
| AJ Barner | 46% | TE14 | 6.9 | 1.5 | 15.5 | |
| Half-PPR | Hunter Henry | 53% | TE11 | 6.0 | 1.3 | 13.5 |
| AJ Barner | 47% | TE14 | 5.2 | 1.1 | 12.8 | |
| Standard | Hunter Henry | 54% | TE11 | 4.0 | 0.7 | 10.8 |
| AJ Barner | 46% | TE14 | 3.4 | 0.5 | 10.4 |
Both players are simulated together in the same 10,000 games, so shared-game correlation is included. Ties count half.
Open in the Start/Sit assistant (add a 3rd or 4th player) →
Get PropSims free
PropSims own-model output; model opinion, not advice. Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+.