PropStart/Sit › Week 4 close calls › TE
Harold Fannin Jr. or Tucker Kraft: who should I start in Week 4?
· Harold Fannin Jr.: CLE vs PIT, Thu, Oct 1, 8:15 PM ET · Tucker Kraft: GB vs TB, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET
Coin flip in Week 4: Harold Fannin Jr. edges Tucker Kraft, outscoring him in 50.9% of 10,000 simulated games (half-PPR), so let your floor/upside need decide. PPR: Harold Fannin Jr. (52%). Standard: Tucker Kraft (51%). Need a safe floor? Harold Fannin Jr. (p10 1.5). Need upside? Tucker Kraft (p85 12.6).
| Scoring | Player | Wins H2H | Rank | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | Harold Fannin Jr. | 52% | TE12 | 7.4 | 2.0 | 15.2 |
| Tucker Kraft | 48% | TE14 | 7.1 | 1.6 | 15.1 | |
| Half-PPR | Harold Fannin Jr. | 51% | TE12 | 5.4 | 1.5 | 12.3 |
| Tucker Kraft | 49% | TE13 | 5.4 | 1.1 | 12.6 | |
| Standard | Harold Fannin Jr. | 49% | TE15 | 3.4 | 0.8 | 9.5 |
| Tucker Kraft | 51% | TE12 | 3.8 | 0.6 | 10.1 |
Both players are simulated together in the same 10,000 games, so shared-game correlation is included. Ties count half.
Open in the Start/Sit assistant (add a 3rd or 4th player) →
Get PropSims free
PropSims own-model output; model opinion, not advice. Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+.