PropStart/Sit › Week 4 close calls › TE
Harold Fannin Jr. or Hunter Henry: who should I start in Week 4?
· Harold Fannin Jr.: CLE vs PIT, Thu, Oct 1, 8:15 PM ET · Hunter Henry: NE vs BUF, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET
Coin flip in Week 4: Harold Fannin Jr. edges Hunter Henry, outscoring him in 53.6% of 10,000 simulated games (half-PPR), so let your floor/upside need decide. Same pick in PPR (55%) and standard (51%). Need a safe floor? Harold Fannin Jr. (p10 1.8). Need upside? Hunter Henry (p85 14.3).
| Scoring | Player | Wins H2H | Rank | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | Harold Fannin Jr. | 55% | TE9 | 8.4 | 2.6 | 16.7 |
| Hunter Henry | 45% | TE14 | 7.3 | 1.4 | 16.6 | |
| Half-PPR | Harold Fannin Jr. | 54% | TE11 | 6.2 | 1.8 | 13.3 |
| Hunter Henry | 46% | TE13 | 5.6 | 0.9 | 14.3 | |
| Standard | Harold Fannin Jr. | 51% | TE11 | 3.9 | 1.0 | 10.1 |
| Hunter Henry | 49% | TE12 | 3.8 | 0.4 | 12.0 |
Both players are simulated together in the same 10,000 games, so shared-game correlation is included. Ties count half.
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PropSims own-model output; model opinion, not advice. Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+.