PropStart/Sit › Week 4 close calls › RB
Emanuel Wilson or Quinshon Judkins: who should I start in Week 4?
· Emanuel Wilson: SEA vs LAC, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET · Quinshon Judkins: CLE vs PIT, Thu, Oct 1, 8:15 PM ET
Coin flip in Week 4: Emanuel Wilson edges Quinshon Judkins, outscoring him in 53.0% of 10,000 simulated games (half-PPR), so let your floor/upside need decide. Same pick in PPR (51%) and standard (56%). Need a safe floor? Quinshon Judkins (p10 3.0). Need upside? Emanuel Wilson (p85 19.2).
| Scoring | Player | Wins H2H | Rank | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | Emanuel Wilson | 51% | RB21 | 9.7 | 3.1 | 19.7 |
| Quinshon Judkins | 49% | RB23 | 9.3 | 3.5 | 17.5 | |
| Half-PPR | Emanuel Wilson | 53% | RB19 | 9.4 | 2.9 | 19.2 |
| Quinshon Judkins | 47% | RB22 | 8.4 | 3.0 | 16.4 | |
| Standard | Emanuel Wilson | 56% | RB18 | 9.1 | 2.7 | 18.8 |
| Quinshon Judkins | 44% | RB24 | 7.5 | 2.5 | 15.3 |
Both players are simulated together in the same 10,000 games, so shared-game correlation is included. Ties count half.
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PropSims own-model output; model opinion, not advice. Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+.