PropStart/Sit › Week 4 close calls › RB
Emanuel Wilson or Cam Skattebo: who should I start in Week 4?
· Emanuel Wilson: SEA vs LAC, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET · Cam Skattebo: NYG vs ARI, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET
Coin flip in Week 4: Emanuel Wilson edges Cam Skattebo, outscoring him in 51.0% of 10,000 simulated games (half-PPR), so let your floor/upside need decide. PPR: Cam Skattebo (51%). Standard: Emanuel Wilson (53%). Need a safe floor? Emanuel Wilson (p10 2.9). Need upside? Emanuel Wilson (p85 19.0).
| Scoring | Player | Wins H2H | Rank | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | Emanuel Wilson | 49% | RB21 | 9.6 | 3.0 | 19.3 |
| Cam Skattebo | 51% | RB19 | 9.8 | 3.3 | 18.7 | |
| Half-PPR | Emanuel Wilson | 51% | RB18 | 9.3 | 2.9 | 19.0 |
| Cam Skattebo | 49% | RB19 | 9.0 | 2.9 | 17.7 | |
| Standard | Emanuel Wilson | 53% | RB17 | 9.0 | 2.7 | 18.6 |
| Cam Skattebo | 47% | RB20 | 8.2 | 2.5 | 16.7 |
Both players are simulated together in the same 10,000 games, so shared-game correlation is included. Ties count half.
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PropSims own-model output; model opinion, not advice. Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+.