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Start/Sit › Week 4 close calls › RB

D'Andre Swift or Cam Skattebo: who should I start in Week 4?

· D'Andre Swift: CHI vs NYJ, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET · Cam Skattebo: NYG vs ARI, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET

START D'ANDRE SWIFT

Start D'Andre Swift over Cam Skattebo in Week 4 (half-PPR): he outscores him in 57% of 10,000 simulated games. Same pick in PPR (56%) and standard (59%). Need a safe floor? D'Andre Swift (p10 4.9). Need upside? D'Andre Swift (p85 22.2).

ScoringPlayerWins H2HRankMedianFloor p10Ceiling p85
PPRD'Andre Swift56%RB1512.85.323.0
Cam Skattebo44%RB1711.34.320.5
Half-PPRD'Andre Swift57%RB1412.14.922.2
Cam Skattebo43%RB1710.33.819.2
StandardD'Andre Swift59%RB1411.34.421.5
Cam Skattebo41%RB179.33.218.1

Both players are simulated together in the same 10,000 games, so shared-game correlation is included. Ties count half.

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PropSims own-model output; model opinion, not advice. Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+.