PropStart/Sit › Week 4 close calls › RB
Cam Skattebo or Bhayshul Tuten: who should I start in Week 4?
· Cam Skattebo: NYG vs ARI, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET · Bhayshul Tuten: JAC vs CIN, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET
Coin flip in Week 4: Bhayshul Tuten edges Cam Skattebo, outscoring him in 50.4% of 10,000 simulated games (half-PPR), so let your floor/upside need decide. Same pick in PPR (50%) and standard (51%). Need a safe floor? Bhayshul Tuten (p10 3.4). Need upside? Cam Skattebo (p85 17.7).
| Scoring | Player | Wins H2H | Rank | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | Cam Skattebo | 50% | RB19 | 9.8 | 3.3 | 18.7 |
| Bhayshul Tuten | 50% | RB20 | 9.7 | 3.7 | 18.2 | |
| Half-PPR | Cam Skattebo | 50% | RB19 | 9.0 | 2.9 | 17.7 |
| Bhayshul Tuten | 50% | RB20 | 8.9 | 3.4 | 17.3 | |
| Standard | Cam Skattebo | 49% | RB20 | 8.2 | 2.5 | 16.7 |
| Bhayshul Tuten | 51% | RB19 | 8.2 | 3.0 | 16.4 |
Both players are simulated together in the same 10,000 games, so shared-game correlation is included. Ties count half.
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PropSims own-model output; model opinion, not advice. Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+.