PropStart/Sit › Week 4 close calls › QB
Bryce Young or Dak Prescott: who should I start in Week 4?
· Bryce Young: CAR vs DET, Sun, Oct 4, 8:20 PM ET · Dak Prescott: DAL vs HOU, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET
Coin flip in Week 4: Bryce Young edges Dak Prescott, outscoring him in 51.4% of 10,000 simulated games (half-PPR), so let your floor/upside need decide. Same pick in PPR (51%) and standard (51%). Need a safe floor? Bryce Young (p10 8.7). Need upside? Bryce Young (p85 25.2).
| Scoring | Player | Wins H2H | Rank | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | Bryce Young | 51% | QB13 | 16.3 | 8.7 | 25.2 |
| Dak Prescott | 49% | QB16 | 16.2 | 8.6 | 24.7 | |
| Half-PPR | Bryce Young | 51% | QB13 | 16.3 | 8.7 | 25.2 |
| Dak Prescott | 49% | QB16 | 16.2 | 8.6 | 24.7 | |
| Standard | Bryce Young | 51% | QB13 | 16.3 | 8.7 | 25.2 |
| Dak Prescott | 49% | QB16 | 16.2 | 8.6 | 24.7 |
Both players are simulated together in the same 10,000 games, so shared-game correlation is included. Ties count half.
Open in the Start/Sit assistant (add a 3rd or 4th player) →
Get PropSims free
PropSims own-model output; model opinion, not advice. Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+.