PropStart/Sit › Week 4 close calls › RB
Bhayshul Tuten or Jeremiyah Love: who should I start in Week 4?
· Bhayshul Tuten: JAC vs CIN, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET · Jeremiyah Love: ARI vs NYG, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET
Coin flip in Week 4: Bhayshul Tuten edges Jeremiyah Love, outscoring him in 52.1% of 10,000 simulated games (half-PPR), so let your floor/upside need decide. PPR: Jeremiyah Love (50%). Standard: Bhayshul Tuten (55%). Need a safe floor? Bhayshul Tuten (p10 3.4). Need upside? Jeremiyah Love (p85 17.3).
| Scoring | Player | Wins H2H | Rank | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | Bhayshul Tuten | 50% | RB21 | 9.7 | 3.6 | 18.0 |
| Jeremiyah Love | 50% | RB19 | 10.0 | 3.6 | 18.8 | |
| Half-PPR | Bhayshul Tuten | 52% | RB20 | 9.0 | 3.4 | 17.1 |
| Jeremiyah Love | 48% | RB21 | 8.6 | 2.9 | 17.3 | |
| Standard | Bhayshul Tuten | 55% | RB20 | 8.3 | 3.0 | 16.2 |
| Jeremiyah Love | 45% | RB23 | 7.3 | 2.1 | 15.8 |
Both players are simulated together in the same 10,000 games, so shared-game correlation is included. Ties count half.
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PropSims own-model output; model opinion, not advice. Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+.