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Should I start Xavier Restrepo in Week 4?
Week 4, 2026 · TEN vs BAL · kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET ·
PropSims says sit Xavier Restrepo in Week 4 unless Carnell Tate is out: as a limited-role WR his median is 1.9 half-PPR points, with a significant role in 9% of our 10,000 simulations.
| Scoring | Rank | Call | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | WR94 | Sit | 2.5 | 0.0 | 6.9 |
| Half-PPR | WR96 | Sit | 1.9 | 0.0 | 5.8 |
| Standard | WR98 | Sit | 1.2 | 0.0 | 4.9 |
Game environment: TEN market-implied team total 15.5 vs 27.0 for BAL (median of 11 books via The Odds API).
Ranked nearby (WR, half-PPR): Josh Cameron (WR94), Ronnie Bell (WR95), Jared Wayne (WR97), Jauan Jennings (WR98).
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Numbers are PropSims own-model output from 10,000 simulations of every Week 4 game; ranks assume a 12-team league (1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 FLEX). Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Methodology · All Week 4 rankings