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Should I start Matt Hibner in Week 4?
Week 4, 2026 · BAL vs TEN · kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET ·
PropSims says sit Matt Hibner in Week 4 unless Mark Andrews is out: as a limited-role TE his median is 1.1 half-PPR points, with a significant role in under 1% of our 10,000 simulations.
| Scoring | Rank | Call | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | TE60 | Sit | 1.5 | 0.0 | 3.2 |
| Half-PPR | TE57 | Sit | 1.1 | 0.0 | 2.5 |
| Standard | TE62 | Sit | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9 |
Game environment: BAL market-implied team total 27.0 vs 15.5 for TEN (median of 11 books via The Odds API).
Ranked nearby (TE, half-PPR): Tanner Hudson (TE55), Sam Roush (TE56), Jonnu Smith (TE58), Daniel Bellinger (TE59).
Compare Matt Hibner with anyone in the Start/Sit assistant →
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Numbers are PropSims own-model output from 10,000 simulations of every Week 4 game; ranks assume a 12-team league (1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 FLEX). Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Methodology · All Week 4 rankings