PropPlayers › TE › BUF
Should I start Jackson Hawes in Week 4?
Week 4, 2026 · BUF vs NE · kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET ·
PropSims says sit Jackson Hawes in Week 4 unless Dalton Kincaid is out: as a limited-role TE his median is 0.0 half-PPR points, with a significant role in under 1% of our 10,000 simulations.
| Scoring | Rank | Call | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | TE80 | Sit | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7 |
| Half-PPR | TE80 | Sit | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3 |
| Standard | TE79 | Sit | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.9 |
Game environment: BUF market-implied team total 28.5 vs 21.5 for NE (median of 11 books via The Odds API). Usage this season (3 games): 1% target share, 0% carry share, 44% snap rate (nflverse).
Ranked nearby (TE, half-PPR): Durham Smythe (TE78), Brady Russell (TE79), Will Kacmarek (TE81), James Mitchell (TE82).
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Numbers are PropSims own-model output from 10,000 simulations of every Week 4 game; ranks assume a 12-team league (1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 FLEX). Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Methodology · All Week 4 rankings