What is Hunter Long's floor and ceiling in Week 4?

Half-PPR: floor 0.0, median 0.0, ceiling 1.2. PPR: 0.0 / 0.0 / 1.6. Standard: 0.0 / 0.0 / 0.8. Floor = 10th percentile, ceiling = 85th percentile of 10,000 simulations.

Players › TE › ARI

Should I start Hunter Long in Week 4?

Week 4, 2026 · ARI vs NYG · kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET · Updated Oct 4, 2026, 9:47 AM ET

SIT Limited role

PropSims says sit Hunter Long in Week 4 unless Trey McBride is out: as a limited-role TE his median is 0.0 half-PPR points, with a significant role in under 1% of our 10,000 simulations.

Scoring	Rank	Call	Ceiling p85
PPR	TE83	Sit	1.6
Half-PPR	TE84	Sit	1.2
Standard	TE83	Sit	0.8

Game environment: ARI market-implied team total 23.5 vs 21.0 for NYG (median of 11 books via The Odds API). Usage this season (3 games): 1% target share, 0% carry share, 33% snap rate (nflverse).

Ranked nearby (TE, half-PPR): Erick All Jr. (TE82), Hayden Rucci (TE83), Blake Whiteheart (TE85), Quintin Morris (TE86).

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Numbers are PropSims own-model output from 10,000 simulations of every Week 4 game; ranks assume a 12-team league (1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 FLEX). Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Methodology · All Week 4 rankings