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Should I start Darren Waller in Week 4?
Week 4, 2026 · CAR vs DET · kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 8:20 PM ET ·
PropSims ranks Darren Waller TE28 in half-PPR for Week 4 (CAR vs DET): sit in a 12-team league. Median 3.3 points, floor 0.0 (p10), ceiling 8.3 (p85), from 10,000 simulations of the game. PPR: TE28 (median 4.5). Standard: TE30 (median 2.1).
| Scoring | Rank | Call | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | TE28 | Sit | 4.5 | 0.0 | 10.4 |
| Half-PPR | TE28 | Sit | 3.3 | 0.0 | 8.3 |
| Standard | TE30 | Sit | 2.1 | 0.1 | 6.3 |
Game environment: CAR market-implied team total 23.8 vs 27.2 for DET (median of 11 books via The Odds API). Usage this season (3 games): 11% target share, 0% carry share, 43% snap rate (nflverse).
Ranked nearby (TE, half-PPR): Austin Hooper (TE26), AJ Barner (TE27), Darnell Washington (TE29), Drake Dabney (TE30).
Compare Darren Waller with anyone in the Start/Sit assistant →
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Numbers are PropSims own-model output from 10,000 simulations of every Week 4 game; ranks assume a 12-team league (1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 FLEX). Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Methodology · All Week 4 rankings