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Should I start AJ Dillon in Week 4?
Week 4, 2026 · CAR vs DET · kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 8:20 PM ET ·
PropSims ranks AJ Dillon RB67 in half-PPR for Week 4 (CAR vs DET): sit in a 12-team league. Median 1.9 points, floor 0.0 (p10), ceiling 4.9 (p85), from 10,000 simulations of the game. PPR: RB71 (median 2.0). Standard: RB65 (median 1.8).
| Scoring | Rank | Call | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | RB71 | Sit | 2.0 | 0.0 | 5.1 |
| Half-PPR | RB67 | Sit | 1.9 | 0.0 | 4.9 |
| Standard | RB65 | Sit | 1.8 | 0.0 | 4.8 |
Game environment: CAR market-implied team total 23.8 vs 27.2 for DET (median of 11 books via The Odds API). Usage this season (3 games): 1% target share, 18% carry share, 11% snap rate (nflverse).
Ranked nearby (RB, half-PPR): Tyler Goodson (RB65), Ameer Abdullah (RB66), Najee Harris (RB68), Chris Brooks (RB69).
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Numbers are PropSims own-model output from 10,000 simulations of every Week 4 game; ranks assume a 12-team league (1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 FLEX). Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Methodology · All Week 4 rankings